Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.420815 0.495594 0.577920 0.675023 0.786153 0.909084 1.055076
2024-10-20 0.299508 0.396282 0.513694 0.665498 0.855307 1.083440 1.376873
2024-10-27 0.224340 0.328732 0.466476 0.658914 0.917746 1.250367 1.706059
2024-11-03 0.180117 0.288641 0.442623 0.672355 1.000674 1.446291 2.088542
2024-11-10 0.146817 0.255313 0.419680 0.679613 1.071271 1.628393 2.466616
2024-11-17 0.120956 0.227008 0.397679 0.682243 1.131787 1.798295 2.839433
2024-11-24 0.102576 0.206595 0.383523 0.692948 1.202814 1.986841 3.252275
2024-12-01 0.086613 0.186789 0.366466 0.695217 1.258691 2.154869 3.645325
2024-12-08 0.070038 0.162129 0.336538 0.670575 1.266109 2.245422 3.922770
2024-12-15 0.062612 0.153855 0.334687 0.694330 1.356453 2.475047 4.436714
2024-12-22 0.055551 0.144797 0.329705 0.711125 1.435315 2.690578 4.941579
2024-12-29 0.052137 0.143042 0.338737 0.755178 1.566739 3.004097 5.630094
2025-01-05 0.044306 0.129594 0.322115 0.747746 1.603913 3.160232 6.067804
2025-01-12 0.037516 0.117092 0.305467 0.738012 1.635599 3.309114 6.504046
2025-01-19 0.032007 0.106492 0.291187 0.731065 1.671435 3.467393 6.966764
2025-01-26 0.028598 0.100766 0.287248 0.745891 1.752153 3.714414 7.605635
2025-02-02 0.025275 0.094426 0.280715 0.753881 1.819121 3.939570 8.217738
2025-02-09 0.022163 0.087881 0.272511 0.756776 1.875196 4.147016 8.808749
2025-02-16 0.019832 0.083183 0.268295 0.768505 1.951207 4.398485 9.498149
2025-02-23 0.017448 0.077621 0.260751 0.770992 2.006668 4.612018 10.126117
2025-03-02 0.014438 0.068857 0.242559 0.744005 1.992299 4.681311 10.473941
2025-03-09 0.013399 0.067166 0.244671 0.770023 2.103175 5.017993 11.374092
2025-03-16 0.012248 0.064684 0.243973 0.788410 2.197459 5.325306 12.231040